Future Babble: Why Pundits Are Hedgehogs and Foxes Know Best
Drawing on research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner explores our obsession with the future. He shows how famous pundits, "hedgehogs" who stick to one big idea no matter how circumstances change, become expert at explaining away predictions that are wrong while "foxes," who are more equivocal in their judgments, are simply more accurate.
Daniel Gardner, Plume, 2012-02-28ISBN: 9780452297579
Submitted by Wim Annerel
February 4, 2018