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The AI Economy

The Robot Age

Roger Bootle

Nicholas Brealey Publishing, 2019

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Analytical
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Economist Roger Bootle presents a no-nonsense, evidence-based assessment of what humanity can expect in the coming decades. AI will likely deliver growth in GDP and living standards beyond anything seen in almost 50 years. The book sometimes has a rushed feel, but Bootle’s sensible, levelheaded and practical view of the coming age of AI seems correct and convincing, even though he warns throughout that – predictions being what they are – he may well be wrong.

Summary

Until the Industrial Revolution began in the 18th century, technological advances had almost no impact on economic growth and living standards.

Past technological advances, including the wheel and agriculture, took centuries to propagate and more centuries to make a difference. The steam engine required more than a century to revolutionize the world. Though economic growth spiked in the Industrial Revolution, living standards did not rise for most people until well into the late 19th century. The Industrial Revolution improved economies and workers’ lives worldwide, despite the bloodiest and most costly wars in history on either side of the Great Depression.

The postwar period of 1945 to 1973 saw the longest sustained growth in many nations’ histories. Since then, however, improvements in net GDP and living standards have flattened. Some experts see the current long period of stagnation as a return to the pre-Industrial-Revolution era. Flat growth, they argue, comes from the lack of breakthrough inventions and technology on the scale of the steam engine, the phone and electricity. Proponents argue that AI does resemble the phone and...

About the Author

Roger Bootle is the founder and chairman of Capital Economics and writes for a major British newspaper. Bootle and his firm won the Wolfson Economics Prize in 2012.

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T. N. 3 years ago

I’m not happy with the summary. I wish it can improve. Instead of ~40 statements, should group it into say 10 points, each with insight, an example or a story to drive point home.

The AI Economy

The Robot Age

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Recommendation

Summary

Until the Industrial Revolution began in the 18th century, technological advances had almost no impact on economic growth and living standards.

About the Author

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