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从马尔萨斯到火星
书籍

从马尔萨斯到火星

极速变化时代的生活、工作、学习指南

Fast Company Press, 2023 more...

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关键特征

  • 创新性
  • 开眼界
  • 前瞻性

导读荐语

在过去的200年里,变化之快,令人难以置信,而且这种速度完全没有放缓的趋势。人类创新成果的数量在指数级增长,这意味着,10年后,你的生活很可能与现在截然不同。但你先不要感到恐慌,未来学家拉斯·特韦德(Lars Tvede)和尼古拉·陈·尼尔森(Nicolai Chen Nielsen)快速展望了人类未来的可能性,发现那将是一个资源丰沛的世界。除此之外,他们还为你提供了必要的思维工具,助力应对即将到来的一切。

浓缩书

人类创新的大部分成果诞生在最近1%的历史中。

在大部分人类历史上,创新的成果很少,人均国内生产总值的增长也很有限。这种经济现象被称为“马尔萨斯经济”(Malthusian economy),由牧师托马斯·马尔萨斯(Thomas Malthus)命名。他认为,在某一时刻,地球上的人口将超过食物的生产量,人类将面临大规模饥荒。然而,他的预测并没有成真。 “伟大的分水岭”(Great Divergence)来临了:从1450年左右开始,西欧某些地区的生活水平以惊人的速度提高,人们摆脱了马尔萨斯陷阱(Malthusian Trap)。文艺复兴、宗教改革、启蒙运动、工业革命和“社交网络革命” 推动了这种增长,促进了知识和创造力的传播。

在高增长时期,出现了许多“10倍技术”(10x technologies)。这些新技术用比以前好10倍的效果解决问题。例如,古腾堡印刷机(Gutenberg printing)的引入,让《圣经》的价格从300个弗罗林降至30个弗罗林。新的技术缩小了商品生产商和消费者之间的距离,让人们获取物品或知识更容易了。

关于作者

拉斯·特韦德(Lars Tvede)是一位投资者、连续创业者和未来学家。尼古拉·陈·尼尔森(Nicolai Chen Nielsen)是一位企业家、教育家,以及领导力发展、个人成长和未来组织方面的顾问。他还是 Return on Ambition 的合著者之一,该书被 getAbstract 评选为2021年五本最佳商业书籍之一。


恭喜你又学完了一篇干货!复述、评论及做笔记是对知识最大的致敬↓

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