Summary of 2018 Global Outlook: Four dangerous dynamics in the Middle East

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2018 Global Outlook: Four dangerous dynamics in the Middle East summary


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Middle Eastern politics are notoriously complex and unpredictable. This holds especially true in 2018, as domestic unrest, shifting alliances, armed bloodshed and foreign meddling redefine the dynamics in nations such as Syria, Yemen and Iraq. Strategic risk analyst and investment adviser Bernard Siman identifies four regional trends he thinks will prove most consequential in the near term. Based on these trends, he outlines several future-looking scenarios in a report written for the Lichtenstein-based Geopolitical Intelligence Services (GIS). 

In this summary, you will learn

  • How Iran’s regional ascendance threatens Israel, Iraq and Saudi Arabia;
  • How Russian involvement could affect the region; and
  • Why the situation may compel the United States to reassert itself in the Middle East.

About the Author

Bernard Siman is a strategic risk analyst advising investors and insurance operators from the Gulf, Japan and Europe. 



The probability of armed conflict in the Middle East in the near term seems very high, given the following four trends:   

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