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Subdued Demand, Diminished Prospects

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Subdued Demand, Diminished Prospects

IMF,

5 min read
5 take-aways
Audio & text

What's inside?

Despite forecasts of greater global economic growth for 2016 and 2017, negative forces remain in play.

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Editorial Rating

7

Qualities

  • Analytical
  • Scientific
  • Visionary

Recommendation

The world appears to be walking an economic tightrope, according to this timely update from the International Monetary Fund. Its experts forecast only modest increases in economic activity in 2016 and 2017 after moderate results in 2015. Three major adverse factors – China’s economic transition troubles, lower commodity prices and tightening US monetary policy – are shaping global activity. Any unexpected worsening of these negative forces could prompt declines in future growth. getAbstract recommends this authoritative and sobering report to policy makers, executives and investors.

Summary

The International Monetary Fund’s forecasts anticipate higher economic growth in 2016 and 2017 than in 2015, but only slightly: They predict increases of 3.4% in 2016 and 3.6% in 2017, from 3.1% in 2015. Advanced economies will see a modest uptick from 1.9% in 2015 to 2.1% in 2016, remaining at 2.1% in 2017. Developing countries should grow from 4% in 2015 to 4.3% in 2016 and 4.7% in 2017, as nations currently experiencing slowdowns – particularly Russia, Brazil and parts of the Middle East – improve. Three critical negative factors are shaping global economic growth:

  • China’...

About the Author

The International Monetary Fund advises member nations on policy issues and works to promote economic stability and well-being.


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