Summary of The Global Trade Slowdown

Cyclical or Structural?


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The Global Trade Slowdown summary
The slowdown in global trade may have long-term implications for the world economy.


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The slowdown in global trade has left economists and others wondering about the future implications of the trend, and whether it is the result of short-term cyclical forces or longer-term structural factors. This study explores the reasons behind the slowdown and what it could mean for growth in the future. getAbstract recommends this academic report to economists and others interested in the implications of this trend.

In this summary, you will learn

  • What accounts for the slowdown in global trade growth since the global financial crisis and
  • What that implies for global trade in the future.


Between 1987 and 2007, world trade grew at an average rate of 7.1% per year. In 2012 and 2013, however, it grew by less than 3%, even after bouncing back from historic lows in 2010. A major reason behind this global trade slowdown is the changing relationship between growth in global trade and in income...
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About the Authors

Cristina Constantinescu and Michele Ruta are economists at the International Monetary Fund, while Aaditya Mattoo is a research manager at the World Bank.

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