Summary of Global Economic Prospects (Vol. 8)

Coping with Policy Normalization in High-Income Countries

World Bank,

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Global Economic Prospects (Vol. 8) summary
What effect will the end of monetary easing in developed nations have on developing countries? Ask the World Bank.

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9 Importance

7 Innovation

8 Style

Recommendation

Since 2009, global influences have driven about 60% of the growth in capital inflows to developing countries, so any move that high-income countries make away from stimulus and quantitative easing will have a broad impact. The World Bank’s staff of economists and researchers set out to determine just how broad that impact would be by using sophisticated economic modeling tools that analyze the global effects of this pivotal change. The study concludes that the resulting worldwide rise in interest rates will introduce complex shifts in the way investment capital moves into developing countries. The World Bank says that if the transitions are smooth, the impact on developing countries will be minimal. However, turbulence during this transition period could result in economic distress in the form of precipitous capital flight. This report clearly details possible risks and proposes effective coping strategies, such as increased exporting. Tables, graphs, charts, figures and a statistical annex support the detailed text. getAbstract recommends this comprehensive, analytical look at the possible effects of normalization to policy makers, investors, executives, economists, academicians and strategic planners.

In this summary, you will learn

  • How global economic growth conditions will play out in 2014
  • What World Bank growth projections into 2016 reveal
  • What risks normalization of monetary support policies in high-income countries may entail for developing nations
 

Summary

Moving Toward Steady Growth
Evidence suggests that high-income countries are now on an economic rebound: Their 1.3% growth in 2013 will likely intensify to 2.2% in 2014 and to 2.4% in 2015 and 2016. This is good news for the world economy – 2013 global growth rates of 2.4% are on a trajectory...
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About the Author

The World Bank is an international financial institution that aims to reduce poverty by providing credit, advice and resources for capital projects to developing countries.


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