Summary of The Global Economy in 2030

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The Global Economy in 2030 summary


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The Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS) has prepared a forecast-filled look at the European Union’s likely economic, social and political development through the year 2030. Not all of CEPS observations are encouraging; in fact, some are downright bleak: The EU will have the oldest regional population in the world by 2030, its labor productivity will grow more slowly than ever and the bloc’s global influence could diminish. But greater trade with developing nations and changes in variables such as immigration could produce an economic surge that would lift the EU’s performance above that of other major economies. The paper, which sometimes mires down in statistics and models, investigates the myriad factors affecting the EU’s economic future, such as trade policy, demographics, climate change, technology and energy. getAbstract recommends this provocative, in-depth exploration of the EU’s prospects to business executives, economists, policy makers and analysts seeking a detailed vision of Europe in 2030.

In this summary, you will learn

  • What economic changes the European Union will likely experience through the year 2030,
  • Why EU influence in the world economy may diminish, and
  • Why the EU needs effective economic ties not only with the United States but also with China and other developing countries.

About the Authors

Daniel Gros is the director of the Brussels-based Centre for European Policy Studies, a research institute where Cinzia Alcidi is the head of the economic policy unit.



The Europe of 2030
Econometric models centered on regional as well as global financial, economic and demographic factors have produced a “central scenario” showing the European Union’s likely economic course up to 2030. The research also raises questions about economic shocks, or “game...

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