US National Intelligence Council
Global Trends 2040
US Government, 2021
Expect a more polarized, dangerous and hotter world, unless nations and people urgently unite.
This seventh edition of the US National Intelligence Council’s Global Trends Report projects outward to 2040. After analyzing demographic, environmental, technological, political and economic trends, the government-based authors arrive at five possible future scenarios. The scenarios range from pessimistic to frightening. Only one offers hope. The authors predict a hotter, more polarized, tense and dangerous world – unless a profound political and technological breakthrough emerges, and nations and individuals unite with urgent purpose.
About the Author
The National Intelligence Council reports to the US Director of National Intelligence, the head of the US intelligence community. Every four years, at the beginning of the US president's new term, it produces a Global Outlooks forecast.
In our Journal
7 months ago
History, Hubris and Histrionics
Why post-pandemic logistics teams struggle with historic data. In a recent discussion with the logistics lead of a major manufacturing company, the topic of data quality dominated the conversation. The executive lamented that their pre-pandemic historic data simply no longer worked for forecasting purposes, and neither did their more recent, post-pandemic data. Basically, no matter […]
2 years ago
The 9 Megatrends That Will Boost Your Organization’s Legs
One way or another. We searched through many recent studies and forecasts, including those from the WEF, the US National Intelligence Council’s Global Trends Report, Brookings Institution, Future Today Institute and MIT Sloan Management Review. They agree on a number of major issues that should be on your radar if you want to have a […]
Comment on this summary