Summary of How the Euro Could Break Up – or Be Saved

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Is the euro at the brink of collapse? In consultation with thought leaders in the business and investment community, Ian Wishart and John Fraher,reporters for Bloomberg Politics, have put together three scenarios under which the euro may break up, as well as three counterscenarios that would allow the euro to survive. getAbstract recommends this easy-to-follow, graphically illustrated outline of possible future scenarios to business executives with stakes in the European market and to readers with euros in the bank.

About the Authors

Ian Wishart and John Fraher are Bloomberg Politics correspondents specializing in European politics and international government. Mira Rojanasakul is an information designer for Bloomberg Graphics.

 

Summary

Amid the surge of populist politicians in Europe, prominent investors and executives have raised the possibility that the European Union’s common currency may not survive. Three scenarios could lead to the breakup of the euro. Based on a poll of experts, a percentage number reflects the likelihood of each scenario becoming a reality:

  1. “Le Pen wins France” (15%) – Marine Le Pen unexpectedly becomes the next president of France and wins a referendum to quit the euro, resulting in a large-scale exodus of French capital. The reintroduced French currency...

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