Summary of The Art of the Long View

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The Art of the Long View book summary


9 Overall

9 Applicability

9 Innovation

9 Style


Peter Schwartz evidences charming honesty and humility about his experiences building scenarios. He learned from his failures, so he includes them, as well as his rather impressive successes. Schwartz emphasizes that scenario planning is not the same thing as predicting the future and that complete accuracy is not the goal. Yet, it is still striking how accurately his 1991 scenarios played out. He may have missed a few specific events and trends but, if you’d based your actions on his scenarios, you would have been well-equipped for the last two decades. His very useful principles of scenario planning and multisource information gathering have not changed since he delineated them. The result is a classic. getAbstract recommends this book to entrepreneurs, organizational decision makers and anyone interested in strategic planning, futurism or change.

In this summary, you will learn

  • What scenario planning is
  • What principles and steps scenario planning involves
  • How to use scenarios to make better decisions

About the Author

Peter Schwartz is a futurist, the co-founder of the Global Business Network and the author of Inevitable Surprises and When Good Companies Do Bad Things, among other books.



A Tool for All Futures: Scenarios
The future is so uncertain that it makes people anxious. They don’t know what decisions to make now. To equip yourself to make informed choices in this continually shifting world, use scenarios. A scenario isn’t a prediction. No one can know the future...

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    Prepare for what lies ahead by planning for alternative futures.

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