Summary of The Contours of a Future Middle East Emerge

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  • Controversial
  • Analytical
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Volatility has afflicted the Middle East since the formation of its contemporary state system in the wake of World War I. But as geopolitics and leadership expert Samir Nassif argues in this cogent analysis for Geopolitical Intelligence Services, cultural and religious differences among the peoples of the region have become so pronounced that the Middle East’s arbitrarily drawn borders may not be able to stand much longer. In 2017, an increasingly powerful and expansionist Iran, heightened tensions between Iran and the United States, and Kurdish independence moves are combining to bring the Middle East to the verge of unraveling.

About the Author

Samir Nassif teaches management at the University of New York in Prague.



Recent events in the Middle East provide a glimpse of this volatile region’s future. The administration of US president Donald Trump has revived the US–Saudi relationship and sought to unite Arab nations against a common threat of terrorism and Iranian expansion. Meanwhile, tensions between Iran and Saudi Arabia are close to the boiling point, and Tehran regularly threatens the destruction of its Sunni neighbor.

The standoff between the United States and North Korea over the latter’s nuclear program adds another dangerous dimension to the Saudi-Iranian feud: A longtime...

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