Summary of Why I Am Still Cautiously Optimistic About China's Economy

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Continuing trade disputes, skyrocketing housing prices and low fertility rates seem to have cast a shadow over China’s economic outlook. However, author Liang Jianzhang maintains a “cautiously optimistic” forecast for the Chinese economy. He believes that a country’s wealth is ultimately determined by its level of technology and industrialization. Using per capita income as a measure of wealth, Liang argues that there is still potential for wage growth given China’s level of technological and industrial progress. getAbstract recommends this article to China watchers, economists and anyone interested in the future of China’s economy.

In this summary, you will learn

  • Why China’s economy still has room for growth,
  • How urbanization can boost innovation and wage growth, and
  • How China’s situation differs from Japan’s in the 1980s.

About the Author

Liang Jianzhang (James Liang) founded travel services provider Trip. He is a professor at the Guanghua School of Management at Peking University.



Given uncertainties in the stock market, trade disputes, home price controls and deleveraging, some people may conclude that China’s economic outlook is gloomy or even that the economy will get stuck in the middle-income trap – that is, that it won’t move past a certain development stage.