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World Risk Alert April 18th 2013
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World Risk Alert April 18th 2013

Global Risk Scenarios

The Economist Intelligence Unit
EIU, 2013
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Editorial Rating

8

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Recommendation

The Economist Intelligence Unit’s April 2013 global risk analysis discusses 10 potential scenarios that could tilt the economic status quo. Though this short, candid overview lacks details, its conclusions are significant. getAbstract recommends it to business leaders and risk managers seeking a checklist of situations and their likelihood.

Take-Aways

  • It is still possible that a country could leave the euro zone, triggering economic havoc. Worldwide protectionism grows, as tensions over “real and alleged currency manipulation” escalate.
  • “Policy-making paralysis” and “geopolitical uncertainty” could usher in a global recession, while the potential fallout from Chinese political instability and depressed economic growth would negatively affect the world economy.
  • Though oil prices may drop due to greater supplies, an attack by Israel or the US on Iran might send prices to $200 a barrel.

About the Author

The Economist Intelligence Unit is an independent research and analytics organization that offers forecasting and advisory services.

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