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Age and Inflation
Article

Age and Inflation

Finance & Development


自动生成的音频
自动生成的音频

Editorial Rating

8

Qualities

  • Innovative

Recommendation

Economists have a number of theories about why inflation flares up during certain periods and dies down in others. While age trends within a population are seldom-explored causes of inflation, new evidence suggests that they may be important drivers. Economists Mikael Juselius and Elöd Takáts find that a large working-age population correlates with disinflationary periods, while inflationary times occur when the young and old dominate. So as many of the world’s major economies age, inflation may make a comeback. getAbstract recommends this important article to economists and others interested in how age-related trends might affect future prices.

Take-Aways

  • Because individuals consume more than they produce in their youth and old age, inflationary pressures rise when young and old predominate in a population.
  • From 1955 to 1975, young baby boomers raised US inflation by an estimated six percentage points. Between 1975 and 1990, when they entered the workforce, inflation declined five percentage points.
  • Inflation has stayed well below central banks’ targets since the early 2000s, the period coinciding with baby boomers’ prime employment years.

About the Authors

Mikael Juselius is a senior economist at the Bank of Finland. Elöd Takáts is a senior economist at the Bank for International Settlements.


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