Summary of 2018 Global Outlook: Four dangerous dynamics in the Middle East

Looking for the article?
We have the summary! Get the key insights in just 5 minutes.

2018 Global Outlook: Four dangerous dynamics in the Middle East summary
Start getting smarter:
or see our plans


8 Overall

8 Importance

7 Innovation

8 Style


Middle Eastern politics are notoriously complex and unpredictable. This holds especially true in 2018, as domestic unrest, shifting alliances, armed bloodshed and foreign meddling redefine the dynamics in nations such as Syria, Yemen and Iraq. Strategic risk analyst and investment adviser Bernard Siman identifies four regional trends he thinks will prove most consequential in the near term. Based on these trends, he outlines several future-looking scenarios in a report written for the Lichtenstein-based Geopolitical Intelligence Services (GIS). 

In this summary, you will learn

  • How Iran’s regional ascendance threatens Israel, Iraq and Saudi Arabia;
  • How Russian involvement could affect the region; and
  • Why the situation may compel the United States to reassert itself in the Middle East.

About the Author

Bernard Siman is a strategic risk analyst advising investors and insurance operators from the Gulf, Japan and Europe. 



The probability of armed conflict in the Middle East in the near term seems very high, given the following four trends:   

More on this topic

Customers who read this summary also read

The Contours of a Future Middle East Emerge
Iran’s Rise
Revolutionary Iran
The Middle East’s New Battle Lines
Beyond Sunni and Shia
Kings and Presidents

Related Channels

Comment on this summary