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China’s War on Taiwan Won’t Start in Taiwan

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China’s War on Taiwan Won’t Start in Taiwan


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China can bring Taiwan into its fold without launching a full-blown invasion.

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Beijing harbors a perennial desire to “reunify” with China-claimed Taiwan. With the United States distracted by internal politics, and the world struggling to cope with the fallout of COVID-19, Chinese president Xi Jinping may sense a window of opportunity to make a move. However, don’t expect China to launch a full-blown invasion. China has several tactics at its disposal to tighten its grip on Taiwan. Learn what they are – and what risks they entail – in this informative analysis from Geopolitical Futures.


Several factors may prompt China to close in on Taiwan.

Taiwan is unfinished business for Chinese President Xi Jinping – and a constellation of factors are increasing the urgency for Xi to make some kind of military move on the island. Internally, promoting Taiwan’s reunification is a way of stoking nationalist sentiments and support for the Chinese Communist Party, whose image has taken a hit due to economic woes and fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic. Too, China’s crackdown in Hong Kong makes it highly unlikely that Taiwan will agree, voluntarily, to peaceful reunification based on a “one country, two systems” model. Finally, with the United States caught up with its own internal political struggles, Xi may seize this window...

About the Author

Phillip Orchard is an analyst at Geopolitical Futures, a digital publication which analyzes and forecasts the direction of global events. 

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