Summary of Global Economic Prospects January 2015

Having Fiscal Space and Using It

World Bank,

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Global Economic Prospects January 2015 summary
All nations, especially developing countries, should rebuild their fiscal buffers as protection against economic shocks.

Rating

7 Overall

8 Importance

7 Innovation

6 Style

Recommendation

This flagship report by the World Bank Group (WBG) predicts that the global economy will experience a lackluster recovery through 2017, with low oil prices and a patchy revival in high-income countries supporting relatively meager growth. In this meticulously researched, reader-friendly and well-annotated analysis, the WBG cautions that developing nations must expand their limited “fiscal space” to help them adapt to the changing economic environment. The WBG’s analysts include essays on fiscal policies, the implications of cheap oil for developing countries, global trade trends and the importance of worker remittances. Tables, graphs, figures and a statistical annex support each part of the report and feed into a central thesis: Economic risks abound, and nations will fare best that act now – while oil prices are low – to strengthen their fiscal buffers against future shocks. getAbstract recommends this timely, comprehensive and nuanced report to investors, risk managers, policy makers, analysts, decision makers in business and industry, and development executives at nongovernmental organizations.

In this summary, you will learn

  • How the world’s economies, especially those in developing countries, will fare until the end of 2017
  • Why developing nations must regain “fiscal space” to weather future downturns
  • How the oil price decline will shape economies
  • Why global trade has lagged since the 2008 crisis
  • How immigrant remittances bolster developing countries
 

Summary

Growing Pains
With weaker trade prospects, an impending rise in global interest rates and financial markets that still suffer the aftereffects of the 2008 crisis, global economic growth will be a modest 3% in 2015, averaging 3.3% to the end of 2017. Developing economies will fare best, ...
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About the Author

The World Bank Group provides financial and technical assistance to developing countries.


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