Summary of Odds On

The Making of an Evidence-Based Investor

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Odds On book summary
Forget trying to pick individual stocks. It’s a loser’s game.


7 Overall

7 Applicability

6 Innovation

7 Style


For too many investors, the playbook is all too familiar: Chasing hot stocks and can’t-miss ideas leaves you with lackluster returns. Investment adviser Matt Hall feels your pain, and he has a solution. Hall calls it “evidence-based investing,” and the research he relies on shows that hardly anyone – not even the professional investor – is savvy enough to outwit the market. His alternative: Load up on low-fee index funds and then essentially ignore your portfolio during booms and busts. Hall uses the format of an engaging personal memoir to explain the mind-set underpinning his advice. He begins with his ill-fated stint as a trainee at a stock brokerage firm. The crux of Hall’s strategy remains timely, but part of his tale is a critique of the mostly outdated brokerage practice of raking in commissions by churning investors in and out of individual stocks. In today’s era of online brokers and $9.99 fees, that’s not the average investor’s biggest challenge. While never giving investment advice, getAbstract recommends Hall’s intriguing journey to investors seeking information about a long-term approach to portfolio management.

In this summary, you will learn

  • Why chasing hot stocks is a losing bet for most investors,
  • What “evidence-based investing” involves and
  • How to incorporate this concept into your portfolio.


“The Briefcase Kid” Gets an Education
The typical investor thinks a winning strategy involves picking a few hot stocks and then trying to buy and sell those choices at the perfect time. In truth, this approach is a money loser, akin to strolling into a casino and hoping to beat the house...
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About the Author

Matt Hall is a speaker, an investment manager and the president of Hill Investment Group in St. Louis, Missouri.

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