Summary of Imagining 2024

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Imagining 2024 summary
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The United States seems to have retreated from the geopolitical front in recent years. While members of a panel of international relations experts diverge on what will be the most pressing diplomatic issues in the years ahead, all concur that the future will be “a lot more dangerous if America isn’t engaged and involved.” Despite the discussion’s Western slant, getAbstract believes this intelligent, at times droll, debate among global influencers will excite politicians, environmentalists, economists, global strategists and futurists.

About the Speakers

Jeffrey Goldberg is a journalist for The Atlantic. Strobe Talbott and James Steinberg are former US deputy secretaries of state. Jane Harman is president of Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. Michael B. Oren is a former Israeli ambassador to the United States.

 

Summary

Experts diverge on where the most dangerous place in the world will be in 2024, but several strong contenders emerge:

  1. South and East China seas – Japan and China could battle over the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands, “insignificant pieces of land” over which both nations claim sovereignty. This dispute is a “proxy” for the underlying power struggle between the states. Both want to be the regional hegemon, and, if tensions escalate, neither will back down. Japan could seek protection from the United States, which has a treaty commitment to Japan.

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